Snow Numbers Next Week May Be Misleading
Page created on: 2025-02-05 09:31:12
In a discussion about a snow solution I select a temperature projection to analyze.
I have seen snowflakes reach the ground with air temperatures around 38 degrees. Reach the ground, not accumulate on it. This event continues to be an inconsistent solution with some growing consensus on a winter mix solution that includes snow.
Looking at the temperature projections, focusing on Feb11-Feb12 where the bigger snow numbers appear, we see not only mean max projections above freezing but much of the candlestick of variability warmer than the mark. Any part of the precipitation event at night has potential to produce accumulation. Above freezing daytime temperatures will aid any efforts to mitigate disruption.
summary: will it snow Feb11-12=likely will snow accumulate Feb11-12=probably will snow be a large disruption Feb11-12=doubtful